Signal Archive

← Back to QNTMSign inJoin freeSignal ArchiveThe model's most recent signal on every name it has flagged, winners and losers, measured against SPY. Nothing is filtered by outcome. Recent signals are withheld for 14 days — by date only, never by outcome.
High-conviction signals vs SPY
56.1%
beat SPY over a fixed 10-session window · n = 570 signals · since 2026-06-13
That is close to a coin flip, and it is the number measured on every qualifying signal — not a selected subset. It is computed on the full population, including signals inside the withheld window.
This measures each signal over a fixed 10-session window from the date it fired. It is a test of the signal itself, not of the traded model portfolio, which enters and exits on conviction rather than on a calendar and is reported separately.
36 signals from the last 14 days
Held back by date, not by result. They join the public record automatically.
See them liveThe record · 34 signalsFrom 2026-07-14. Prices as of 2026-09-11. Excess = the stock's move minus SPY's over the same dates.
DateTickerSignalPrice thenMoveSPYExcess
2026-08-27PSXSustained High$239.81+8.8%-0.8%+9.6%
2026-08-26MRXSustained High$72.12+3.4%-0.2%+3.6%
2026-08-24OSCRSustained High$31.81+4.1%+0.2%+3.9%
2026-08-24HAEDowngraded$108.40-7.1%+0.2%-7.3%
2026-08-17CONDowngraded$35.53-2.1%-1.0%-1.1%
2026-08-14JAZZDowngraded$244.96+0.4%-1.5%+1.9%
Names the model did not rate · 636A LOW score means the absence of conviction, not a bearish call. This bucket is mostly microcaps and sub-dollar names the model never rated, so it is shown for completeness and excluded from the figure above.
2026-08-27CWK$14.14-8.7%-7.9%
2026-08-26SPHR$157.40-8.6%-8.4%
2026-08-26RLI$64.86-7.5%-7.3%
2026-08-24HST$23.19-3.7%-3.9%
2026-08-24HQY$105.40-9.8%-10.0%
2026-08-20NEU$927.61-4.8%-5.1%
2026-08-20LGND$287.39-0.2%
Method
Conviction thresholds changed 2026-07-16 (HIGH 60 to 65, LOW 45 to 55). Labels before that date are preserved as published.
The scored universe was reconstituted 2026-06-22 (834 to 1402 names).
Outcomes are reported relative to SPY, never as an absolute return. The record is forward-only: published entries are never revised or removed.
Past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment advice.

Date	Ticker	Signal	Price then	Move	SPY	Excess
2026-08-27	PSX	Sustained High	$239.81	+8.8%	-0.8%	+9.6%
2026-08-26	MRX	Sustained High	$72.12	+3.4%	-0.2%	+3.6%
2026-08-24	OSCR	Sustained High	$31.81	+4.1%	+0.2%	+3.9%
2026-08-24	HAE	Downgraded	$108.40	-7.1%	+0.2%	-7.3%
2026-08-17	CON	Downgraded	$35.53	-2.1%	-1.0%	-1.1%
2026-08-14	JAZZ	Downgraded	$244.96	+0.4%	-1.5%	+1.9%

2026-08-27	CWK	$14.14	-8.7%	-7.9%
2026-08-26	SPHR	$157.40	-8.6%	-8.4%
2026-08-26	RLI	$64.86	-7.5%	-7.3%
2026-08-24	HST	$23.19	-3.7%	-3.9%
2026-08-24	HQY	$105.40	-9.8%	-10.0%
2026-08-20	NEU	$927.61	-4.8%	-5.1%
2026-08-20	LGND	$287.39	-0.2%