Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Market Regime: RISK_OFF — QNTM's regime engine flags risk-off, consistent with a market digesting fresh tariff headlines and escalating geopolitical conflict; this typically favors defensive positioning and lower gross exposure.

Conviction: 49.8/100 — A near-neutral reading across 1,422 scored names, with only 3.7% screening as high-conviction. That's a signal of broad indecision rather than a clear bullish or bearish tilt — the model isn't finding many stocks with strong, aligned signals across momentum, quality, volume, value, and sentiment right now.

On the calendar today: Stocks are prepared for Nvidia's quarterly results, along with a key inflation report and the Federal Reserve's annual symposium, with the PCE price index for July due Wednesday and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh expected to speak at Jackson Hole. Broader earnings flow remains heavy this week.

Overnight & premarket: US stock-index futures gained as pressure on technology shares eased; Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4% after the underlying gauge fell almost 1% Monday on a chip-stock selloff, while European shares were set to open higher and Asia-Pacific stocks erased earlier losses. Monday's session saw futures pressured by tech weakness and a deteriorating macro backdrop, with oil easing but staying elevated as the US pledged to economically isolate Iran. WTI sits near $82.41.

What to watch: 1. Nvidia earnings reaction and whether chip-sector jitters extend or fade. 2. Any fresh tariff or Iran-related headlines given today's macro tags (tariff_broad, war_escalation). 3. Positioning ahead of Wednesday's July PCE print and Fed commentary out of Jackson Hole.

Research/education only — not investment advice.