Monday, September 14, 2026

Market Regime: RISK_OFF QNTM's regime overlay flags RISK_OFF — a backdrop where the model favors capital preservation over aggressive positioning given elevated geopolitical and energy-price risk.

Conviction: 48.6/100 With only 2.7% of the 1,422-name universe scoring "high conviction," the data shows broad-based caution rather than a stock-picker's market — signal quality is thin across sectors today.

On the calendar today

There are no major earnings or data releases scheduled today. The bigger event is later this week: the Fed kicks off its meeting Tuesday, September 15, concluding Wednesday with a policy decision that markets widely expect to include a rate hike given recent inflation data.

Overnight & premarket

Asian stocks and US equity futures retreated after major AI companies called for a slowdown in the technology's development; MSCI's Asia Pacific index fell 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures dropped over 1%, and S&P 500 futures fell 0.6%. Oil is surging further, with Brent crude up roughly 3% to about $107.65/barrel after Saudi Arabia shut a key pipeline that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. Chips, optical, data-center, and power-related names are broadly lower. SpaceX fell 2% premarket amid the broader AI-linked selloff.

What to watch 1. Oil-supply headlines out of Saudi Arabia/Strait of Hormuz — direction of crude has been the session's key driver. 2. Whether AI-sector sentiment stabilizes or extends its slide into the Fed week. 3. Positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision.